IC Market Espresso 26 Mar 2024

 
Sphera Franchise Group Proposes RON 1.05 DPS, Publishes 2024 Revenue and Expense Budget

At the share price before the announcement, this would imply a DY of 3.7%. The ex-date is set for 16 May 2024, while the payment date is set for 6 June 2024. Furthermore, according to the 2024 revenue and expense budget, restaurant sales are expected to grow by 12% YoY, EBITDA is expected to increase by 28.3% YoY, and a net profit of RON 95.7m is estimated, with an increase of 20.1% YoY.

Yesterday, Sphera Franchise Group published the OGSM notice, which included the proposal for the 2024 dividend. According to the proposal, a dividend from the undistributed net profit of 2022 and 2023 would be distributed, implying a gross dividend per share of RON 1.05. At the share price before the announcement, this would imply a DY of 3.7%.

The ex-date is set for 6 June 2024, while the payment date is set for 16 May 2024.

Sphera Franchise Group dividends per share (RON) and dividend yields (%) (2019 – 2024)

Source: Sphera Franchise Group, InterCapital Research

Besides the dividend proposal, the 2024 revenue and expense budget was also discussed. While no detailed report is available, key financial indicators are presented. In terms of restaurant sales, they are estimated at RON 1.65bn, growing by 12.2% YoY. On this, restaurant gross profit of RON 1.12bn is expected, growing by 13.2% YoY. This would imply a gross profit margin of 68%, an increase of 0.6 p.p. YoY.

Moving on, restaurant op. profit of RON 253.4m is expected in the budget, representing an increase of 22.7% YoY, while the G&A expenses are estimated at RON 63.5m, increasing by 8.6% YoY. In terms of the EBITDA, it is expected at RON 189.8m, increasing by 28.3% YoY, and implying an EBITDA margin of 11.5%, an increase of 1.4 p.p. YoY. Finally, a net profit of RON 95.7m is expected, growing by 20.1% YoY, and implying a net profit margin of 5.8%, increasing by 0.4 p.p. YoY.

Sphera Franchise Group key financial indicators (2024 budget vs. 2023, RONm)

Source: Sphera Franchise Group, InterCapital Research

One United Properties Publishes 2024 Revenue and Expense Estimate

In 2024, One United Properties expects a total turnover of RON 1.75bn, representing an increase of 15% YoY. Of this, residential revenue is estimated at RON 1.4bn, a 26% increase YoY, while the rental income and revenue from services to tenants is estimated at RON 176.4m, which is an increase of 37% YoY. Furthermore, op. profit of RON 687.6m is expected to increase by 22% YoY. Finally, a net profit of RON 525.2m is expected by ONE, representing an increase of 17% YoY.

Yesterday, One United Properties published its 2024 revenue and expense estimate. According to the release, ONE expects a total turnover of RON 1.75bn in 2024, which is an increase of 15% YoY. Breaking this down, revenue from sales of residential property is expected at RON 1.42bn, an increase of 26% YoY. At the beginning of 2024, ONE had a portfolio of 1,415 units available for sale and pre-sale. An additional 1,181 units in the later phases of One Lake District an app. 1.3k units at One Cotroceni Towers can be added to the sales portfolio, depending on sales progress and demand.

Furthermore, the net margin from residential sales is expected at 37.6%, an increase of over 10 p.p. YoY, implying a residential net income of RON 535.8m, representing an increase of 74% YoY. ONE notes that this would be driven by the already solid sales from developments currently under construction, which are progressing towards completion, therefore positively influencing the net margin (as ONE uses a revenue recognition policy not based on sales but rather on the percentage of total completion of assets).

On the other hand, rental income and revenues from services to tenants are estimated at RON 176.4m in 2024, an increase of 37% YoY. Also, net rental income is expected to grow by 16% YoY, to RON 100.5m. This will be driven by the tenants moving into One Cotroceni Park Phase 2, which was delivered in early 2023, and is estimated to be fully leased in 2024. Furthermore, a full lease is also planned for One Cotroceni Park Phase 1 before the end of the year. ONE further notes that the growth rate of rental revenues is more tempered than in previous years, due to the sale/pre-sale of four non-core rental assets in 2023, as part of the strategy to focus activity of the Company on large-scale mixed-use developments.

Meanwhile, gains from investment properties are set to decline by 43% YoY in 2024, to RON 148.1m. As a result of these developments, op. profit is expected at RON 687.6m, an increase of 22% YoY, while the gross profit is expected at RON 612.5m, an increase of 16% YoY. Finally, the net profit is expected at RON 525.2m, an increase of 17% YoY. This would also a net profit margin of 30%, representing a slight increase of 0.5 p.p. YoY.

One United Properties select P&L indicators (2024 budget vs. 2023, RONm)

Source: One United Properties, InterCapital Research

Upcoming Events – March 2024

Here you can find the dates for the upcoming events of the regional companies

wdt_ID Date Ticker Announcement Country
15 26.3.2024 ATGR Atlantic Grupa Supervisory Board Meeting Croatia
16 27.3.2024 ATGR Atlantic Grupa Supervisory Board Meeting Croatia
17 27.3.2024 TEL Transelectrica Annual 2023 results (OGSM material) Romania
18 28.3.2024 TEL Transelectrica Meeting for financial analysts, investment advisors, brokers and investors to present FY 2023 results Romania
19 28.3.2024 H2O Hidroelectrica financial results for 2023 - materials for Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders Romania
20 29.3.2024 ATGR Atlantic Grupa FY 2023 Audited Report Croatia
21 29.3.2024 ZVTG Triglav FY 2023 Audited Report Slovenia
22 29.3.2024 H2O Hidroelectrica investor and analyst conference call for FY 2023 financial results presentation Romania

Due to the nature of these events, they are subject to change (might be postponed or canceled).