IC Market Espresso 23 Nov 2020

 
9M Top & Bottom-Line Performance of BET Index Components
With all of BET index’s components publishing their 9M results, we bring you an overview of Romanian listed companies’ top and bottom-line performance.

When observing the top line performance of BET index components, BVB tops the list with a 21.8% YoY increase in sales. The Bucharest Stock Exchange’s increase in sales was due to higher trading activity caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The only other double-digit growth was posted by the construction materials manufacturer Teraplast. The Management stated that the organic growth in the 9M period shows that the Group can adapt, find solutions and perform even in the difficult context of 2020. They also claimed that their result could have been even better, but they were limited by the production capacities. To resolve this problem, the company recently announced that they are building a new factory worth EUR 10m.

Digi’s 9M growth in sales came due to rising sales in Romania and Spain. Revenue growth in Romania was mainly the result of the increase of cable TV and fixed internet and data RGUs in the period due to organic growth, as well as following the entering into force of the Networking agreement between RCS & RDS and Digital Cable Systems, AKTA Telecom and ATTP Telecommunicatios. The increase in Spain was due to the increase in mobile telecommunication services RGUs from approximately 1.7m in 9M 2019 to approximately 2.2m in 9M 2020, an increase of approximately 28. This was primarily due to new customer acquisitions caused by more attractive and affordable mobile and data offerings.

Medlife’s top line performance increased by 8.4% YoY. The increase was mainly the result of growth in almost all of the Group’s business lines, as well as the impact of the acquisitions completed by the Group in 2019 and 2020. Electrica’s sales in the 9M period amounted to EUR 963m, representing an increase of 3.7 % YoY. In the supply segment, revenues were higher by 4.3 % due to an increase in electricity sales prices on the retail market by 3.2 %, but also the increase in revenues from green certificates, the latter having a neutral impact in the supply margin. Regarding the electricity distribution segment, revenues were 2.1% higher, mainly as a result of the increase in distribution fees, which offset the negative impact of the reduction in the amount of electricity distributed.

Meanwhile Conpet and Purcari posted a flat top line performance.

BET Index Components’ 9M Top Line Performance (%)

On the flip side, Sphera led the laggards by posting a -27.6% YoY decrease in sales. The decrease was due to the COVID-19 pandemic and epidemiological measures made to prevent the spread of the virus. Romgaz’s sales fell 23% YoY following a decrease of revenues from gas sales (-28.4%). Meanwhile revenue from electricity increased by 36.1% and storage revenues increased by 25.9%.

OMV Petrom’s top line decrease due to the plummeting oil price. Alro’s sales dropped due to lower market demand for aluminium products due to the global crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and to low LME quotations. Nuclearelectrica’s 9M sales fell by 2.2% YoY, due to the 3.2% decrease of the weighted average price of electricity sold in 9M 2020 compared to 9M 2019. Meanwhile the total amount of electricity sold in that period actually increased by 1.2%. Transgaz’s revenues from operating activities before balancing and construction activities decrease by 7% YoY, mainly as a result of a lower volumetric transport tariff by RON 0.83 per MVh. Finally, Transelectrica’s sales are down due to an electricity production and consumption decrease of 7% and 5%, respectively. Cross-border export physical exchanges rose by an annual 2.7%, while cross-border import flows registered a 27.7% annual rise in 9M period.

BET Index Components’ 9M Bottom Line Performance (%)

On the bottom line, Electrica, Medlife and Transelectrica were able to double their net profit by capitalising on their ability to translate their higher sales down the P&L to a higher net profit. Meamwhile Teraplast posted a net profit increase of 78.6% YoY due to the abovementioned strong top line performance.

BVB’s bottom line went up 18.2% YoY, rising on the back of positive contribution from a rising top line. The increase in sales were partially offset by higher personnel expenses and expenses with services provided by third parties. Other than that, it was hurt by a declining FX result mainly due to the reduction of the value of unrealized exchange rate differences from the revaluation of financial instruments in currency.

When observing the lowest bottom-line performance on the chart, OMV Petrom posted the largest decrease caused by the negative movement of oil price. Turning our attention to the financial sector, the two banks, Banca Transilvania and BRD Bank posted a decrease in net profit fuelled by higher provisions due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile Fondul Proprietatea was hit by a decrease in value of their major shareholdings.  

Note that we excluded three components from the chart as their net profit turned to net loss. Those companies are Sphera, Digi and Alro.

Sphera posted a net loss of RON -10.7m due to lower sales caused by challenging environment in which their restaurants operated. The impact of lower sales was partially offset by lower costs related to payroll and employee benefits. Lower costs were fuelled mainly by state aid measures, reduced working hours and a lower number of employees in the period. Overall restaurant expenses in the 9M period were down by 22.8% due to lower cost of food & material (-30.1%, mainly volume related), payroll expenses (-33.1%), royalties (-27.8%), advertising (-31.5%) and rent (-12.2%).

Nuclearelectrica’ bottom line went up 14.8% Other than rising sales, the bottom line was boosted by a positive net financial result of RON 34.9m (from a net loss of RON -4.7m in 9M 2019). The rise can be attributed to a favourable FX result.

Croatian Mandatory Pension Funds Asset Structure – October 2020
For today, we decided to present you with an updated asset structure analysis of Croatian Mandatory Pension funds.

Pension funds could be seen as the key player on the Croatian capital market, as their current domestic equity holdings account for more than 40% of the free float market cap of ZSE. Therefore, it is particularly interesting to see how they have been affected by the ongoing Covid-19 situation. As the global financial markets, as well as the Croatian capital market, observed a partial rebound in April and the following months, it is worth seeing how Croatian mandatory pension funds performed during that period. As visible from the bottom graph, the NAV of the mentioned funds has increased on a YTD basis.

NAV of pension funds has witnessed a steady increase for each consecutive month since April, and as of end October stood at HRK 115.83bn (+0.1% MoM or HRK 69.86m). This also represents an increase of 2.9% YTD.  As a reminder, in March (the worst performing month for almost all asset classes) the pension funds recorded a decrease of 3.3% MoM or HRK 3.76bn.

It is also worth adding that in October net contribution payments amounted to HRK 587.9m, which is by HRK 53.6m lower compared to the previous month.

Asset Structure of Croatian Mandatory Pension Funds (October 2020)

Source: Croatian Financial Services Supervisory Agency, InterCapital Research

Looking at the asset composition of pension funds, asset managers have not changed significantly their composition, which can be seen in the graph above. Bonds account for the vast majority of total assets (70.1%) which as of October amounted to HRK 81.68bn (increase of HRK 134.4m MoM or 0.2%). Shares come next, with 17% or HRK 19.8bn, representing a decrease of 1.3% MoM. Such a decrease mostly came on the back of a decrease in foreign shares by 1.9% or HRK 156.5m.

Unlike Croatian UCITS funds whose majority of equity holdings are foreign, mandatory pension funds have 58.6% (or HRK 11.60bn) of their equity holdings allocated in domestic shares. We note that shares have once again turned red on a YTD basis with a slight decrease of 0.3%. Of that, domestic shares are down 6% YTD, while foreign shares are up by 9.2% YTD.

Total Assets of Croatian Mandatory Pension Funds (2018 – October 2020) (HRK bn)

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