IC Market Espresso 14 Jul 2020

 
YTD Movement of VIX

Yesterday, VIX closed at 32.19, representing a daily increase of 17.96%.

The VIX has definitely been in the spotlight this year, as the global markets have witnessed significant volatility as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic. VIX, also known as the fear index, is calculated based on the S&P 500 options and reflects market expectations on (implied) volatility in the coming 30 days.

Unlike classic indexes, VIX’s growth represents negative sentiment or increased risk of market volatility. VIX levels over 30 could be considered risky as the market is expecting high volatility.

The performance of US indices Dow Jones and S&P 500 was further boosted in June and July (so far) which came on the back of the continued positive sentiment on the equity market. On a YTD basis, Dow Jones is down 7%, while the S&P 500 closed yesterday’s session practically flat on a YTD basis. Meanwhile, earlier this year, both indices observed a decrease higher than 20% in less than a month (compared to the 52-week peak) witnessing the fastest bear market in history.

VIX Movement YTD

Since, the S&P and VIX are negatively related, this years market conditions (the combination of Covid-19 outbreak and an oil price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia) have led to a surge in the VIX index. It is worth noting that VIX was last time seen at the levels observed this year during the financial crisis in 2008. In March, VIX observed two sharp daily increases this month. The first one was on 12 March, which coincided with President Trump introducing the European travel ban. Meanwhile, on 16 March the index reached 82.69, which is the highest value since the CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) introduced the new methodology for the index in 2003.

Since the beginning of the year, VIX has more than doubled and currently stands at 32.19 representing a daily increase of 18%. Such a high increase yesterday occurred amid share price decreases of tech shares (all FAANG stocks observed a share price decrease, with Netflix leading the list (-4.23%)).

However, if we were to compare it to our last update done in late May, the index is also quite up. It is important to add that since our last update VIX observed a spike to 40.79 on 11 June 2020 (+48%), its highest closing level since 23 April. Such an increase was the biggest daily point gain since 16 March. The surge in the VIX came on the back of the fear of Covid-19 resurgence. However, as visible from the graph, VIX has since than seen a gradual decline, up until yesterday.

AD Plastik Proposes No (Additional) Dividend Payment

The proposal is subject to approval at the GSM which will be held on 24 August 2020.

AD Plastik published an invitation to the General Assembly that will be held on 24 August 2020. In the convocation the company proposed the distribution of 2019 net profit. To be specific, the Management and Supervisory Board made a decision to allocate a part of the realized profit in the amount of HRK 21.7m to other reserves from profit to cover the unwritten-off development costs stated in the Company’s assets as of December 31, 2019. Furthermore, HRK 51.92m will be allocated to retained earnings, while HRK 16.52m has already been paid in a form of an advance dividend.  This implies that no additional dividend will be paid in 2020.

As a reminder, Ad Plastik announced in late February 2020 that the company’s Management Board brought a decision on advance dividend payment in the amount of HRK 4 per share. Compared to the last year, the advance dividend was higher by HRK 1 per share and translated to a dividend yield of 2.1%.

Dividend per Share (2013 – 2020) (HRK)

Dividend Yield (2013 – 2020) (%)