IC Market Espresso 12 Jul 2023

 
Producer Prices of Industrial Products Grew by 2.2% YoY in June 2023

By the end of June 2023, producer prices of industrial products on the domestic market grew by 2.2% YoY, while on a MoM basis, they increased by 0.7%.

The latest producer prices of industrial products (PPI) overview has been published by the Croatian Bureau of Statistics, DZS. In the report, we can see that the producer prices of industrial products increased by 2.2% YoY, and 0.7% MoM on the domestic market. Meanwhile producer prices, excluding Energy increased by 0.3% MoM, and by 5.7% YoY showing us that the primary cause for the uptick in MoM changes was caused by the recent upward momentum in energy prices.

Breaking down the PPI by categories, on a YoY basis, producer prices of industrial products increased in Non-durable consumer goods by 7.8%, in Capital goods by 3.1%, in Intermediate goods by 1.4%, and in Durable consumer goods by 0.7%, while they decreased in Energy by 5.4%.

Meanwhile, on an MoM basis, producer prices of industrial products increased in Energy by 3.8% and in Non-durable consumer goods by 0.5%, while at the same time, they decreased in Intermediate goods by 0.4% and in Durable consumer goods by 0.1%, while they remained stable in Capital goods.

Producer prices of industrial products (June 2016 – June 2023, YoY %)

Source: DZS, InterCapital Research

Next up, we have the breakdown of the producer prices of industrial products by sector. On a YoY basis, producer prices increased in Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply by 19.3%, in Manufacturing by 0.9% and in Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities by 0.7%, while they decreased in Mining and quarrying by 17.5%. Meanwhile, on an MoM basis producer prices increased in Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply by 2.4%, in Manufacturing by 1.1% and in Mining and quarrying by 0.1%, while they decreased in Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities by 0.1%.

The trend of slowing YoY increases in the PPI has continued, seeing PPI readings in the lower single digits is an encouraging sign for the consumers. However, we note that while YoY data is encouraging, MoM data is less so. Energy prices heavily weighed in on the MoM reading due to the recent supply reductions imposed by OPEC and Russia, and given the uncertainty of the situation, further growth could be seen.

Free float of CROBEX Constituents

Today, we decided to present you with a brief overview of CROBEX constituents’ free float.

In our analysis we considered free float to equal all individual shareholdings lower than 5%, while pension funds and UCITS funds were considered as free float regardless of their shareholding percentage.

Free Float of CROBEX Constituents (%)

Source: ZSE, InterCapital Research

8 CROBEX constituents have a free float higher than 50%, indicating that 50%+ of CROBEX constituents are still held by a small group of majority shareholders. Of the constituents, only Adris (pref.) has a free float of over 90%.

On the other hand, ZABA and Kutjevo have less than 10% of free float. ZABA has a free float of 3.8% and is almost completely owned by Unicredit with 96.2% ownership. ZABA is followed by Kutjevo, Brodogradilište Viktor Lenac, and Jadroplov with a free float of 6.7%, 18%, and 29.6%, respectively.

The prime market is the most demanding market on the Zagreb Stock Exchange regarding the requirements set before the issuer. It is worth noting that it requires the issuer to have a free float of at least 35%. If we were to compare CROBEX to that parameter, a few of the constituents would not meet the criteria (ZABA, Kutjevo, Brodogradilište Viktor Lenac, and Jadroplov).

If we were to calculate the free float of CROBEX constituents while excluding pension funds, the results would be slightly different for some, but significantly different for the majority of companies. Namely, Croatian pension funds held EUR 2.34bn of the current total market capitalization of ZSE. This amounts to 11.4% of the current market cap of ZSE equity which amounts to EUR 20.54bn.

Upcoming Events – July 2023

Here you can find the dates for the upcoming events of the regional companies.

wdt_ID Date Ticker Announcement Country
8 18.7.2023 KRKG Krka ex-date Slovenia
9 20.7.2023 KRKG Krka Q2 2023 Results Slovenia
10 20.7.2023 ADPL AD Plastik General Shareholders Meeting Croatia
11 21.7.2023 PODR Podravka Q2 2023 Results Croatia
12 25.7.2023 ERNT Ericsson NT Q2 2023 Results Croatia
13 25.7.2023 ATGR Atlantic Grupa Q2 2023 Results Croatia
14 25.7.2023 TRP Teraplast Q2 2023 Results Romania
15 25.7.2023 ATPL Atlantska Plovidba Supervisory Board Meeting Croatia
16 26.7.2023 TRP Teraplast Q2 2023 Results Conference Call Romania
17 26.7.2023 ATPL Atlantska Plovidba Management Board Meeting Croatia
18 26.7.2023 ARNT Arena Hospitality Group Supervisory Board Meeting Croatia
19 27.7.2023 KOEI Končar Q2 2023 Results Croatia
20 27.7.2023 HT Hrvatski Telekom Q2 2023 Results, Conference Call for investors and analysts Croatia
21 27.7.2023 ARNT Arena Hospitality Group Q2 2023 Results Croatia
22 27.7.2023 ADPL AD Plastik Q2 2023 Results Croatia
23 28.7.2023 WINE Purcari Wineries ex-date Romania
24 28.7.2023 EQNX Equinox Q2 2023 Results Slovenia
25 28.7.2023 SNP OMV Petrom Q2 2023 Results, Conference Call Romania
26 28.7.2023 ATPL Atlantska Plovidba Q2 2023 Results Croatia
27 31.7.2023 RIVP Valamar Riviera Q2 2023 Results Croatia

Due to the nature of these events, they are subject to change (might be postponed or canceled).